Tondela U17 vs Rio Ave U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
64.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
10º
6º
40
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
39 | 42 |
1º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
40 | 41 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 41 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 27 |
5º
|
85% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
85% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 19 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
97% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
85% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FAM
3 - 1
TON
78%
14%
9%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
TON
3 - 1
PAD
11%
15%
74%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +3 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
PAÇ
5 - 0
TON
61%
19%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TON
1 - 2
MER
41%
22%
37%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
TON
2 - 3
FAT
30%
21%
49%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Ave U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 1
RIO
41%
22%
37%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
RIO
3 - 0
MER
76%
15%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 3
RIO
15%
18%
68%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 1
ANA
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
FAM
1 - 0
RIO
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |