Tondela U17 vs Merelinense U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
36.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
10º
6º
16
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
39 | 42 |
1º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
40 | 41 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 41 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 27 |
5º
|
85% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
85% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 19 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
97% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
85% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
TON
2 - 3
FAT
30%
21%
49%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TRS
6 - 0
TON
75%
15%
11%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TON
3 - 0
MAR
53%
21%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ACA
3 - 0
TON
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ESP
3 - 0
TON
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Merelinense U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MER
2 - 4
BOA
18%
19%
64%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MER
2 - 4
FAM
22%
21%
58%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
MER
2 - 2
RIO
20%
19%
61%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MER
3 - 1
PAÇ
39%
22%
39%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MER
2 - 2
BRA
7%
13%
80%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | +1 |