Tondela U17 vs Marialvas U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
10º
6º
16
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
39 | 42 |
1º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
40 | 41 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 41 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 27 |
5º
|
85% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
85% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 19 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
97% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
85% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
TON
3 - 1
PAL
86%
10%
5%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ANA
0 - 3
TON
18%
18%
64%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TON
1 - 2
RIO
17%
19%
65%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FAM
3 - 1
TON
78%
14%
9%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
TON
3 - 1
PAD
11%
15%
74%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Marialvas U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ANA
1 - 3
MAR
21%
20%
60%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 4
FAM
13%
17%
70%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PAÇ
7 - 0
MAR
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
BOA
12%
16%
72%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 3
MAR
19%
19%
62%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |