Tondela U15 vs Marinhense U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-90%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
7º
2º
29
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
GFN
0 - 0
TON
34%
22%
44%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
TON
2 - 0
UDL
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ACA
2 - 1
TON
38%
21%
41%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MRV
0 - 1
TON
44%
21%
35%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TON
1 - 1
ANA
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Marinhense U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
ACA
24%
21%
55%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MRV
1 - 0
MAR
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 2
ANA
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
5 - 1
BEN
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
GFN
37%
23%
41%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |