Tondela U15 vs Gafanha U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
7º
2º
31
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 3
TON
38%
22%
41%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TON
3 - 0
LEM
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
TON
18%
19%
63%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TON
0 - 0
ACA
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TON
4 - 0
BEN
78%
14%
9%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Gafanha U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GFN
2 - 0
BEN
82%
11%
6%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FAT
1 - 2
GFN
11%
16%
73%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GFN
1 - 1
UDL
55%
21%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
GFN
2 - 1
LEM
86%
10%
4%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GFN
20 - 0
GRD
88%
9%
4%
|
33 | 7 | 26 | 0 |