Ton Pentre vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ton Pentre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 0
TON
65%
20%
16%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
TAF
5 - 3
TON
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2013 |
TON
2 - 0
GOY
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
BRY
1 - 2
TON
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
PON
2 - 0
TON
59%
22%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
GOY
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
PON
2 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
BRY
22%
22%
57%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
HAV
4 - 0
CAR
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MON
3 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |