Tomislav vs FK Tuzla City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
48.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
4º
13º
8º
42
3º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 52 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 51 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 51 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 49 |
5º
|
63.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 48 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 48 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 47 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 46 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 43 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 37 |
14º
|
89.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 13 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 97% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomislav
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TMS
4 - 0
BRO
15%
19%
66%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
TMS
1 - 1
POS
11%
17%
72%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
TMS
0 - 2
SIR
9%
15%
76%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
GRD
1 - 4
TMS
34%
24%
42%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
TMS
0 - 0
BUD
49%
24%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tuzla City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 5
VEL
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
ZRI
4 - 0
SLO
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 6
BBL
33%
28%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ZEL
2 - 0
SLO
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 2
IGM
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |