Tomiño vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomiño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
RIB
0 - 0
TOM
72%
16%
11%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
TOM
4 - 1
ALE
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
TOM
1 - 2
RAP
28%
24%
48%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
SDN
2 - 1
TOM
40%
25%
36%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
TOM
0 - 4
CHO
31%
26%
43%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 0
SPO
42%
26%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
PON
1 - 0
CHO
57%
23%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
RAP
0 - 1
CHO
41%
26%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 2
NIG
36%
26%
39%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LAL
3 - 1
CHO
63%
22%
15%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |