Tomelloso vs Motilla CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
HER
1 - 2
TOM
66%
22%
13%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
ALZ
2 - 1
TOM
64%
23%
14%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
MOT
1 - 1
TOM
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
TOM
1 - 1
ELD
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
MHN
1 - 1
TOM
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Motilla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
MOT
3 - 1
MAD
60%
22%
18%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
TAR
4 - 2
MOT
48%
26%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
MOT
1 - 1
TOM
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
MOT
2 - 2
QRE
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
MAN
1 - 1
MOT
32%
28%
41%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |