Tomelloso vs Carranque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TOM
0 - 0
CIU
21%
26%
53%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
HEL
0 - 0
TOM
65%
20%
15%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
TOM
2 - 1
TOR
35%
27%
38%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
VRU
4 - 2
TOM
74%
16%
9%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
TOM
0 - 2
GIM
22%
27%
51%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Carranque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
HEL
33%
25%
42%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TOR
0 - 1
CAR
54%
25%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
VRU
22%
24%
55%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
GIM
2 - 0
CAR
77%
16%
7%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
PUE
27%
24%
49%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |