Tombense vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CRZ
2 - 0
TOM
64%
24%
12%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
TOM
3 - 0
SAM
41%
28%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
OPE
0 - 0
TOM
54%
27%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 0
CRI
50%
27%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 0
TOM
81%
15%
5%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
ITU
33%
30%
37%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
VIL
36%
30%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
VAS
26%
29%
46%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
VIL
57%
26%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
CSA
33%
32%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |