Tombense vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
BOA
1 - 2
TOM
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
TOM
3 - 1
MAM
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
TOM
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 1
TOM
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
TOM
0 - 1
VIL
55%
24%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DEM
1 - 0
URT
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
URT
0 - 0
VIL
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
URT
0 - 1
MAM
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
AMF
2 - 1
URT
79%
15%
6%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
URT
2 - 1
BOA
21%
25%
54%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +1 |