Tombense vs EC Itauna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
MAM
0 - 1
TOM
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
TOM
0 - 2
FUN
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
TOM
1 - 1
GUA
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 2
TOM
21%
24%
56%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
FEC
3 - 0
TOM
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
EC Itauna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
FUN
2 - 2
ECI
56%
22%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ECI
0 - 1
MAM
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
ECI
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ECI
0 - 0
FEC
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ECI
3 - 1
VAL
52%
23%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |