Tombense vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
26.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 1
TOM
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
TOM
0 - 1
TUP
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 0
TOM
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
TOM
0 - 0
CAL
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CRZ
1 - 2
TOM
95%
4%
1%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | +1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 0
CAX
59%
24%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CAX
1 - 1
MAD
29%
29%
42%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 1
CAX
52%
26%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
CAX
1 - 0
ECS
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
CAX
0 - 1
SAO
59%
23%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |