Tombense vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
ATM
0 - 2
TOM
94%
5%
1%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
TOM
0 - 0
AMF
17%
20%
63%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ATM
5 - 1
TOM
95%
4%
1%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
TOM
0 - 2
ATM
8%
17%
75%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AMF
0 - 2
TOM
77%
15%
9%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 0
NAC
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 15 | 40 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 0
CRZ
7%
19%
74%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAL
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AME
1 - 1
CAL
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 1
ATM
8%
19%
73%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | +2 |