Tomás Greig vs Lautaro de Buin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomás Greig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
REN
3 - 1
TOM
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
LIM
3 - 1
TOM
16%
21%
63%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
TOM
0 - 2
JOA
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
TOM
23%
23%
54%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
TOM
0 - 0
FVC
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lautaro de Buin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
LAU
2 - 0
LIM
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
JOA
2 - 1
LAU
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
LAU
2 - 0
CHI
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
FVC
2 - 1
LAU
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
LAU
5 - 4
TAL
69%
19%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |