Tomás Greig vs Jugendland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomás Greig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
MEJ
3 - 1
TOM
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
TOM
0 - 1
CDC
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
PUB
3 - 3
TOM
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TOM
2 - 5
TAL
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
TOM
1 - 3
DMQ
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Jugendland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
JUG
0 - 1
TAL
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
DMQ
3 - 1
JUG
59%
23%
19%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CDC
2 - 1
JUG
65%
20%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
PUB
0 - 1
JUG
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
JUG
3 - 2
TOM
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |