Tomás Greig vs General Velásquez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomás Greig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
FVC
1 - 0
TOM
57%
21%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
TOM
0 - 1
BDS
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LAU
2 - 3
TOM
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ACC
3 - 3
TOM
40%
24%
37%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
TOM
4 - 2
EST
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
General Velásquez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
BDS
2 - 1
GVE
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GVE
1 - 1
LAU
43%
25%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DLI
1 - 3
GVE
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GAS
1 - 2
GVE
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
GVE
1 - 0
REN
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |