Tomás Greig vs Fernández Vial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomás Greig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
BDS
4 - 0
TOM
28%
23%
49%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
TOM
4 - 2
LAU
48%
23%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
TOM
1 - 1
DLI
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
EST
0 - 0
TOM
41%
24%
35%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
TOM
2 - 0
ACC
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
FVC
5 - 0
CHI
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
FVC
2 - 0
LIM
68%
19%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
BDS
0 - 1
FVC
34%
25%
42%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
FVC
3 - 1
MEJ
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
LAU
2 - 1
FVC
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |