Tomás Greig vs Chimbarongo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomás Greig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
FVC
4 - 2
TOM
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
TOM
3 - 2
TAL
73%
16%
11%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TOM
0 - 1
ACC
67%
19%
15%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
EST
2 - 5
TOM
43%
24%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TOM
1 - 1
JUV
86%
10%
4%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Chimbarongo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
LIM
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
JOA
3 - 2
CHI
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
REN
30%
24%
47%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FVC
7 - 1
CHI
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 2
TAL
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |