UD Tomares U19 vs Fundación Lucena FC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
12.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+93%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
6º
2º
34
8º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Tomares U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 1
TOM
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
TOM
4 - 3
XER
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 4
TOM
37%
22%
41%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
TOM
3 - 1
COR
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SEV
5 - 1
TOM
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fundación Lucena FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
FUN
5 - 1
ATL
28%
21%
51%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
FUN
2 - 1
SÉN
26%
22%
53%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
UCD
4 - 1
FUN
41%
21%
38%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FUN
5 - 2
XER
16%
19%
65%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MOS
3 - 1
FUN
66%
17%
17%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |