Tom Tomsk vs Akhmat Grozny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tom Tomsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
KUB
1 - 3
TOM
48%
27%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
MET
0 - 1
TOM
13%
22%
65%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
TOM
0 - 3
VNN
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
TOM
1 - 1
FCR
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
DIN
3 - 0
TOM
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Akhmat Grozny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
TER
0 - 1
FCR
27%
28%
45%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
NIZ
0 - 2
TER
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
ZEN
0 - 0
TER
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
KRA
0 - 2
TER
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
TER
2 - 0
KRS
43%
28%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |