Toluca vs Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.5%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.4%
3.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ATS
1 - 2
TOL
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
TOL
18%
24%
58%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 1
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
PUE
1 - 0
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 1
MOR
59%
22%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CAÑ
1 - 2
ZAC
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
TOL
18%
24%
58%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
LOB
2 - 1
CAÑ
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
CAÑ
1 - 2
TIJ
23%
23%
55%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
CIM
1 - 1
CAÑ
21%
27%
52%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |