CONCACAF Champions Last 16
Global 6-5
Toluca vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.7%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.2%
3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2003 |
TOL
4 - 0
QRO
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
ATS
1 - 1
TOL
38%
24%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
TOL
4 - 1
CUE
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
TOL
3 - 1
MON
73%
15%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
AUR
1 - 0
TOL
25%
27%
48%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
CON
2 - 0
USR
81%
12%
6%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
CON
2 - 1
HAR
45%
24%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
KCW
2 - 0
CON
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
CON
0 - 1
KCW
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2001 |
RAC
0 - 4
CON
36%
24%
40%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |