Toluca vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
VER
1 - 1
TOL
14%
23%
63%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
TOL
3 - 1
AUR
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ATS
0 - 1
TOL
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 2
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ALE
1 - 4
TOL
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
VER
1 - 1
TOL
14%
23%
63%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
5 - 0
VER
81%
13%
6%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
JUA
2 - 0
VER
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
VER
0 - 0
CAZ
15%
24%
61%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 0
VER
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |