Toluca vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 0
VER
68%
19%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TIG
0 - 1
TOL
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
VER
0 - 1
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PAC
0 - 0
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 1
JAG
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 0
VER
68%
19%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
VER
2 - 0
JAG
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
VER
0 - 1
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
AME
1 - 0
VER
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
VER
1 - 1
TOR
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |