Toluca vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
SLO
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
QRO
0 - 0
TOL
37%
27%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
LIG
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 0
SAN
49%
25%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
TIJ
0 - 0
TOL
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
VER
4 - 1
NEC
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
VER
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
VER
3 - 1
AUR
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VER
0 - 0
DOR
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PAC
6 - 0
VER
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |