Toluca vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
SNL
1 - 3
TOL
28%
25%
46%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
TOL
3 - 1
NEC
57%
23%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2005 |
MON
0 - 3
TOL
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2005 |
TOL
3 - 3
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAC
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
VER
1 - 2
EST
40%
25%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
ATS
2 - 0
VER
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
MOR
2 - 1
VER
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
VER
1 - 3
PAC
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
MON
1 - 1
VER
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |