Toluca vs Tijuana analysis

Toluca Tijuana
80 ELO 76
22.2% Tilt 0.9%
329º General ELO ranking 622º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
59.1%
Toluca
21.9%
Draw
19%
Tijuana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
Toluca
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
19%
Win probability
Tijuana
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toluca
+23%
+1%
Tijuana

ELO progression

Toluca
Tijuana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2022
TOL
Toluca
1 - 1
Puebla
PUE
51%
24%
25%
79 81 2 0
30 Jul. 2022
JUA
FC Juárez
1 - 1
Toluca
TOL
27%
26%
47%
80 71 9 -1
27 Jul. 2022
LEO
León
0 - 1
Toluca
TOL
58%
22%
20%
79 83 4 +1
24 Jul. 2022
TOL
Toluca
2 - 1
Santos Laguna
SAN
44%
25%
31%
79 83 4 0
14 Jul. 2022
AME
América
1 - 0
Toluca
TOL
54%
23%
23%
79 84 5 0

Matches

Tijuana
Tijuana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jul. 2022
TIJ
Tijuana
2 - 0
Mazatlán
MAZ
48%
25%
28%
76 76 0 0
27 Jul. 2022
ATS
Atlas FC
1 - 2
Tijuana
TIJ
52%
26%
22%
75 82 7 +1
24 Jul. 2022
TIJ
Tijuana
2 - 0
América
AME
21%
26%
53%
74 84 10 +1
18 Jul. 2022
TIG
Tigres UANL
1 - 0
Tijuana
TIJ
70%
19%
12%
75 84 9 -1
09 Jul. 2022
TIJ
Tijuana
0 - 2
FC Juárez
JUA
52%
27%
21%
75 70 5 0