Toluca vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
QRO
1 - 1
TOL
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 4
CAZ
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 1
TOL
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
MAZ
1 - 2
TOL
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
TIJ
2 - 0
ATS
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
TIJ
1 - 1
NEC
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MAZ
2 - 0
TIJ
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
TIJ
1 - 0
PUM
30%
28%
43%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
PUE
3 - 1
TIJ
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |