Copa MX Semi-finals

Global 3-7

Toluca vs Tijuana analysis

Toluca Tijuana
78 ELO 78
19.4% Tilt 2.6%
332º General ELO ranking 622º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
53.1%
Toluca
23.4%
Draw
23.5%
Tijuana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
Toluca
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.5%
Win probability
Tijuana
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toluca
+22%
-5%
Tijuana

ELO progression

Toluca
Tijuana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2020
QRO
Querétaro
1 - 1
Toluca
TOL
37%
26%
37%
78 75 3 0
04 Mar. 2020
TIJ
Tijuana
3 - 0
Toluca
TOL
39%
27%
34%
79 77 2 -1
29 Feb. 2020
TOL
Toluca
2 - 0
Monterrey
MON
37%
25%
39%
78 85 7 +1
22 Feb. 2020
PUE
Puebla
2 - 0
Toluca
TOL
32%
26%
43%
79 72 7 -1
19 Feb. 2020
TOL
Toluca
5 - 1
Pachuca
PAC
42%
24%
34%
78 81 3 +1

Matches

Tijuana
Tijuana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2020
CAZ
Cruz Azul
4 - 2
Tijuana
TIJ
61%
22%
17%
78 84 6 0
04 Mar. 2020
TIJ
Tijuana
3 - 0
Toluca
TOL
39%
27%
34%
77 79 2 +1
29 Feb. 2020
TIJ
Tijuana
0 - 1
Puebla
PUE
53%
25%
22%
78 73 5 -1
22 Feb. 2020
TIJ
Tijuana
0 - 1
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
51%
26%
23%
78 76 2 0
19 Feb. 2020
MOR
CA Morelia
0 - 0
Tijuana
TIJ
51%
24%
25%
78 77 1 0