Toluca vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
QRO
1 - 1
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
TIJ
3 - 0
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 0
MON
37%
25%
39%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
PUE
2 - 0
TOL
32%
26%
43%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
TOL
5 - 1
PAC
42%
24%
34%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAZ
4 - 2
TIJ
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
TIJ
3 - 0
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
TIJ
0 - 1
PUE
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
TIJ
0 - 1
CHI
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 0
TIJ
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |