Toluca vs Tijuana analysis

Toluca Tijuana
80 ELO 78
8.3% Tilt 1.1%
332º General ELO ranking 622º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
56.9%
Toluca
23.3%
Draw
19.8%
Tijuana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
Toluca
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.8%
Win probability
Tijuana
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toluca
+23%
-2%
Tijuana

ELO progression

Toluca
Tijuana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 2019
MON
Monterrey
2 - 0
Toluca
TOL
66%
19%
15%
80 86 6 0
11 Aug. 2019
TOL
Toluca
0 - 1
América
AME
32%
25%
43%
81 86 5 -1
05 Aug. 2019
JUA
FC Juárez
2 - 0
Toluca
TOL
22%
25%
53%
81 70 11 0
01 Aug. 2019
TOL
Toluca
1 - 0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
ALE
72%
18%
11%
81 69 12 0
28 Jul. 2019
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 1
Toluca
TOL
48%
25%
26%
81 84 3 0

Matches

Tijuana
Tijuana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 2019
QRO
Querétaro
3 - 2
Tijuana
TIJ
40%
27%
33%
79 75 4 0
10 Aug. 2019
TIJ
Tijuana
1 - 0
Pumas UNAM
PUM
44%
27%
30%
78 78 0 +1
04 Aug. 2019
AME
América
3 - 1
Tijuana
TIJ
70%
19%
11%
78 86 8 0
31 Jul. 2019
TIJ
Tijuana
2 - 0
Querétaro
QRO
51%
25%
24%
78 74 4 0
28 Jul. 2019
TIJ
Tijuana
1 - 1
Querétaro
QRO
50%
26%
24%
78 74 4 0