Toluca vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
MON
2 - 0
TOL
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 1
AME
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2019 |
JUA
2 - 0
TOL
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
TOL
1 - 0
ALE
72%
18%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
48%
25%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
QRO
3 - 2
TIJ
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
TIJ
1 - 0
PUM
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
AME
3 - 1
TIJ
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
TIJ
2 - 0
QRO
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
TIJ
1 - 1
QRO
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |