Toluca vs Tijuana analysis

Toluca Tijuana
84 ELO 80
4% Tilt -5.2%
332º General ELO ranking 619º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
58.3%
Toluca
22.2%
Draw
19.5%
Tijuana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
Toluca
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.5%
Win probability
Tijuana
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toluca
+15%
+2%
Tijuana

ELO progression

Toluca
Tijuana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2016
PUE
Puebla
0 - 2
Toluca
TOL
41%
26%
33%
84 80 4 0
28 Aug. 2016
TOL
Toluca
2 - 2
CA Morelia
MOR
57%
23%
20%
84 79 5 0
24 Aug. 2016
TOL
Toluca
4 - 0
Lobos BUAP
LOB
65%
21%
14%
84 70 14 0
20 Aug. 2016
VER
Veracruz
2 - 2
Toluca
TOL
33%
27%
40%
84 76 8 0
14 Aug. 2016
TOL
Toluca
0 - 0
Tigres UANL
TIG
51%
26%
24%
84 84 0 0

Matches

Tijuana
Tijuana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2016
MON
Monterrey
0 - 0
Tijuana
TIJ
55%
23%
22%
80 82 2 0
27 Aug. 2016
TIJ
Tijuana
1 - 0
Pumas UNAM
PUM
42%
26%
32%
80 82 2 0
21 Aug. 2016
NEC
Necaxa
1 - 1
Tijuana
TIJ
35%
26%
39%
80 75 5 0
18 Aug. 2016
TIJ
Tijuana
1 - 1
Lobos BUAP
LOB
65%
20%
15%
80 68 12 0
13 Aug. 2016
TIJ
Tijuana
2 - 0
León
LEO
44%
25%
32%
80 80 0 0