Toluca vs Tijuana analysis

Toluca Tijuana
84 ELO 81
3.2% Tilt -6%
332º General ELO ranking 622º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
56.1%
Toluca
22.8%
Draw
21.1%
Tijuana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
Toluca
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21.1%
Win probability
Tijuana
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toluca
+23%
-2%
Tijuana

ELO progression

Toluca
Tijuana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2016
TOL
Toluca
0 - 0
Querétaro
QRO
60%
22%
18%
84 79 5 0
23 Oct. 2016
MON
Monterrey
1 - 1
Toluca
TOL
44%
25%
31%
84 81 3 0
20 Oct. 2016
PUE
Puebla
0 - 2
Toluca
TOL
41%
26%
33%
84 79 5 0
16 Oct. 2016
TOL
Toluca
2 - 1
Pumas UNAM
PUM
55%
23%
22%
84 81 3 0
02 Oct. 2016
NEC
Necaxa
3 - 1
Toluca
TOL
29%
27%
44%
84 76 8 0

Matches

Tijuana
Tijuana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2016
TIJ
Tijuana
2 - 0
Jaguares FC
JAG
64%
21%
16%
80 70 10 0
16 Oct. 2016
AME
América
1 - 0
Tijuana
TIJ
56%
23%
21%
80 84 4 0
01 Oct. 2016
TIJ
Tijuana
1 - 0
Atlas FC
ATS
62%
22%
16%
80 75 5 0
26 Sep. 2016
SAN
Santos Laguna
1 - 2
Tijuana
TIJ
49%
24%
27%
80 80 0 0
22 Sep. 2016
TIJ
Tijuana
2 - 1
Querétaro
QRO
48%
25%
27%
80 80 0 0