Toluca vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 0
QRO
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
TOL
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 2
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUM
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NEC
3 - 1
TOL
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
TIJ
2 - 0
JAG
64%
21%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
AME
1 - 0
TIJ
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
TIJ
1 - 0
ATS
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
TIJ
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
TIJ
2 - 1
QRO
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |