Toluca vs Tijuana analysis

Toluca Tijuana
85 ELO 80
3.6% Tilt -7.7%
331º General ELO ranking 622º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
57.7%
Toluca
22.6%
Draw
19.7%
Tijuana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
Toluca
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.7%
Win probability
Tijuana
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toluca
+15%
-9%
Tijuana

ELO progression

Toluca
Tijuana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2015
PAC
Pachuca
3 - 4
Toluca
TOL
41%
27%
32%
84 80 4 0
30 Aug. 2015
TOL
Toluca
1 - 3
León
LEO
53%
24%
24%
84 82 2 0
27 Aug. 2015
TOL
Toluca
3 - 1
Zacatepec
CAÑ
89%
8%
3%
84 65 19 0
23 Aug. 2015
ATS
Atlas FC
1 - 2
Toluca
TOL
33%
28%
39%
84 77 7 0
20 Aug. 2015
CAÑ
Zacatepec
1 - 1
Toluca
TOL
18%
24%
58%
84 65 19 0

Matches

Tijuana
Tijuana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2015
TIJ
Tijuana
2 - 1
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
58%
24%
18%
81 78 3 0
30 Aug. 2015
MOR
CA Morelia
1 - 2
Tijuana
TIJ
40%
26%
34%
80 77 3 +1
27 Aug. 2015
TIJ
Tijuana
4 - 3
Necaxa
NEC
68%
20%
12%
80 66 14 0
22 Aug. 2015
TIJ
Tijuana
1 - 2
Tigres UANL
TIG
46%
27%
28%
81 83 2 -1
19 Aug. 2015
NEC
Necaxa
1 - 2
Tijuana
TIJ
23%
25%
53%
80 66 14 +1