Toluca vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DOR
1 - 2
TOL
24%
26%
50%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
TIJ
2 - 2
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 1
JAG
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 0
TIJ
58%
23%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PAC
3 - 4
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
TIJ
1 - 1
JAG
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
TIJ
2 - 2
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
TIJ
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 0
TIJ
58%
23%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TIJ
2 - 1
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |