Toluca vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOL
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 0
PUE
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 3
TOL
35%
26%
40%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
AME
3 - 2
TOL
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 2
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
TIG
0 - 1
CAZ
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TIJ
0 - 3
TIG
27%
27%
46%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
LEO
2 - 2
TIG
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
TIG
2 - 1
VER
75%
17%
9%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PUM
3 - 1
TIG
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |