Toluca vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
TOL
27%
26%
48%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
LOB
1 - 2
TOL
24%
27%
49%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
AME
1 - 2
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
CAF
1 - 3
TOL
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PUM
0 - 1
TOL
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
TIG
4 - 1
LEO
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
TIG
2 - 0
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 0
TIG
40%
28%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
TIG
3 - 2
TOR
58%
23%
20%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
TIG
1 - 0
TIJ
60%
22%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |