Toluca vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
AME
3 - 1
TOL
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 0
TIJ
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 1
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 0
ATS
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
PUE
0 - 1
TOL
37%
28%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2015 |
TIG
1 - 1
UNI
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
TIG
2 - 1
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 2
TIG
24%
27%
49%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
QRO
1 - 3
TIG
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
TIG
3 - 0
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |