Toluca vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
TOL
27%
27%
47%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
SJE
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
QRO
0 - 2
TOL
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
SJE
1 - 1
TOL
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
TOL
3 - 0
PUE
65%
21%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
TIG
3 - 0
VER
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
TIG
0 - 2
QRO
67%
21%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
TIG
6 - 0
ATL
66%
20%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
PUE
0 - 1
TIG
31%
29%
40%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
PUE
0 - 0
TIG
33%
29%
39%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |