Toluca vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
JAG
1 - 1
TOL
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 1
PAC
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
PUM
2 - 1
TOL
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
TOL
0 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 2
TOL
55%
24%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
TIG
1 - 1
AME
38%
28%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
NEC
0 - 2
TIG
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
TIG
0 - 1
QRO
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
TIG
1 - 2
PAC
32%
26%
43%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 2
TIG
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |