Toluca vs Tigres UANL analysis

Toluca Tigres UANL
85 ELO 81
3.7% Tilt -11.8%
332º General ELO ranking 367º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
53.7%
Toluca
24%
Draw
22.4%
Tigres UANL

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
Toluca
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.4%
Win probability
Tigres UANL
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toluca
+24%
+3%
Tigres UANL

ELO progression

Toluca
Tigres UANL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2006
SNL
San Luis
1 - 0
Toluca
TOL
40%
27%
33%
84 78 6 0
10 Sep. 2006
TOL
Toluca
2 - 1
CA Morelia
MOR
57%
23%
20%
84 80 4 0
04 Sep. 2006
AME
América
1 - 1
Toluca
TOL
51%
25%
25%
84 83 1 0
30 Aug. 2006
TOL
Toluca
2 - 1
Tecos
EST
62%
21%
17%
84 75 9 0
27 Aug. 2006
PUM
Pumas UNAM
0 - 0
Toluca
TOL
40%
27%
33%
84 80 4 0

Matches

Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2006
TIG
Tigres UANL
1 - 1
Jaguares FC
JAG
52%
24%
24%
82 81 1 0
10 Sep. 2006
VER
Veracruz
2 - 1
Tigres UANL
TIG
32%
26%
42%
82 73 9 0
03 Sep. 2006
TIG
Tigres UANL
1 - 1
Atlas FC
ATS
53%
23%
24%
82 79 3 0
30 Aug. 2006
ATL
Atlante FC
2 - 0
Tigres UANL
TIG
44%
25%
31%
83 79 4 -1
26 Aug. 2006
SNL
San Luis
2 - 0
Tigres UANL
TIG
37%
26%
37%
83 76 7 0