Toluca vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
SNL
1 - 0
TOL
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 1
MOR
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2006 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 1
EST
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
PUM
0 - 0
TOL
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
TIG
1 - 1
JAG
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
VER
2 - 1
TIG
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
TIG
1 - 1
ATS
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 0
TIG
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
SNL
2 - 0
TIG
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |