Toluca vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ATL
0 - 0
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
SAP
3 - 2
TOL
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUM
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 0
SAP
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
JAG
2 - 0
TOL
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
TIG
0 - 0
EST
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
ATS
0 - 2
TIG
40%
26%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2006 |
COR
1 - 0
TIG
55%
24%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
TIG
2 - 3
MOR
59%
22%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2006 |
PAC
0 - 0
TIG
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |