Toluca vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUA
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
QRO
4 - 1
TOL
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
PUE
4 - 1
TOL
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2020 |
TOL
1 - 0
CHI
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
TIG
2 - 0
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 2
PUM
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
JUA
1 - 1
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
QRO
64%
20%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
NEC
2 - 1
SAN
31%
25%
44%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |