Toluca vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
NEC
0 - 0
TOL
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 1
CAZ
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
TOL
43%
26%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ATS
1 - 3
TOL
27%
27%
45%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
LEO
3 - 1
TOL
49%
24%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
TIJ
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
VER
1 - 1
SAN
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
TOL
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
MOR
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
ZAC
0 - 1
SAN
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |