Toluca vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
TIJ
0 - 0
TOL
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TOL
3 - 0
DOR
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 2
TOL
39%
27%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
JAG
3 - 2
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 1
TOL
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
DOR
3 - 1
SAN
21%
25%
54%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
AME
48%
24%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 2
PAC
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ATS
1 - 2
SAN
28%
26%
46%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 0
GAL
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |