Toluca vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
TOL
3 - 1
CAL
73%
18%
10%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
MON
1 - 1
TOL
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 0
PUM
52%
26%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 4
TOL
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 1
PAC
49%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
CAÑ
3 - 3
SAN
14%
19%
67%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
QRO
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
PUE
1 - 1
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 2
CAZ
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAÑ
89%
8%
3%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | +1 |