Toluca vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 2
TOL
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 2
PUM
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TIJ
1 - 1
TOL
29%
29%
42%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
SAN
22%
24%
55%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
QRO
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
6 - 1
SES
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
PUE
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |