Toluca vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 2
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 2
TOL
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
JAG
1 - 1
TOL
46%
27%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 3
VER
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
PAC
0 - 1
TOL
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 0
JAG
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
VER
5 - 1
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
ATS
45%
24%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
TIG
2 - 2
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 0
SNL
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |