Toluca vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
AME
2 - 1
TOL
53%
25%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
DOR
1 - 1
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
TOL
0 - 0
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 1
TIG
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ATL
0 - 0
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
EST
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ATS
3 - 3
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 0
MOR
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2006 |
PAC
0 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
MON
46%
24%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |